KenPom Volatility Tracker

Rating evolution across 7 snapshots (2026-02-23 to 2026-03-04)

Rank Movement — Top 50

RkTeamAdjEMPrev RkRk ChgAdjEM Chg
1Duke40.792+1+4.19
2Michigan39.551-1+0.26
3Arizona37.5630+2.19
4Florida35.356+2+2.74
5Illinois33.194-1-1.19
6Houston32.695-1-0.60
7Purdue30.158+1-1.61
8Michigan St.29.7910+2+1.22
9Iowa St.29.667-2-2.58
10Connecticut29.1813+3+1.56
11Gonzaga28.349-2-0.56
12Nebraska26.7911-1-1.39
13Tennessee26.5416+3+0.18
14Texas Tech26.5118+4+0.38
15Vanderbilt26.2512-3-1.47
16Alabama26.0320+4+0.37
17Louisville26.0215-2-0.73
18Virginia25.7119+1-0.30
19Arkansas25.5017-2-0.84
20Kansas25.4714-6-2.09
21St. John's24.11210-0.46
22Saint Mary's23.6129+7+2.41
23Iowa22.2024+1-0.72
24BYU22.0922-2-2.40
25Saint Louis21.63250-1.27
26Kentucky21.4430+4+0.48
27North Carolina21.1933+6+0.73
28Georgia21.1440+12+2.18
29Texas21.1328-1-0.23
30Wisconsin21.0031+1+0.31
31Miami FL20.5139+8+1.23
32UCLA20.1642+10+2.44
33N.C. State20.1526-7-2.58
34Ohio St.20.0336+2+0.31
35Villanova20.0227-8-1.93
36Texas A&M19.7837+1+0.19
37Utah St.19.7723-14-3.68
38Clemson19.6035-3-0.30
39Santa Clara19.5038-1+0.17
40Auburn19.0032-8-1.47
41SMU18.7134-7-1.68
42Cincinnati18.3450+8+3.53
43Indiana17.2741-2-1.39
44San Diego St.17.0943-1-0.49
45TCU16.9651+6+2.25
46New Mexico16.6344-2-0.57
47VCU16.5945-2-0.34
48Oklahoma16.2457+9+2.66
49UCF15.7348-1+0.68
50Missouri15.6552+2+1.27

Biggest Movers — AdjEM Change

AdjEM Over Time — Top 10

Rank Over Time — Top 15

Most Volatile Teams (AdjEM Std Dev)

NCAA March Madness Tournament Forecasting · KenPom Probit · SBCB Elo